Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.527433 1.741021 1.973380 2.244899 2.553465 2.893237 3.295796
2025-11-02 1.185577 1.473913 1.815129 2.248591 2.784631 3.425961 4.251987
2025-11-09 0.972258 1.283723 1.674437 2.200350 2.889865 3.763490 4.955519
2025-11-16 0.845062 1.172330 1.602985 2.210844 3.046901 4.157096 5.745153
2025-11-23 0.755465 1.094044 1.558482 2.241613 3.221065 4.575676 6.594283
2025-11-30 0.670926 1.009852 1.492432 2.229006 3.325191 4.897548 7.328152
2025-12-07 0.593025 0.924739 1.413464 2.185133 3.373404 5.135647 7.952695
2025-12-14 0.523286 0.843255 1.329871 2.122774 3.383014 5.310695 8.489535
2025-12-21 0.472780 0.785661 1.275829 2.098374 3.444987 5.565157 9.164459
2025-12-28 0.449562 0.768959 1.283461 2.171012 3.664924 6.081553 10.297331
2026-01-04 0.409390 0.719847 1.233431 2.143089 3.715327 6.325251 10.998069
2026-01-11 0.390751 0.705288 1.238906 2.207974 3.925455 6.847084 12.208187
2026-01-18 0.356431 0.663295 1.199436 2.201904 4.031339 7.233414 13.279931
2026-01-25 0.326238 0.626158 1.165987 2.205556 4.159621 7.679736 14.521941
2026-02-01 0.292832 0.578925 1.108737 2.158230 4.187552 7.945276 15.454226
2026-02-08 0.270934 0.551000 1.083954 2.168525 4.323084 8.418910 16.822396
2026-02-15 0.253776 0.530329 1.070533 2.198709 4.498766 8.982815 18.418836
2026-02-22 0.233694 0.501406 1.037753 2.186341 4.587565 9.384486 19.729433
2026-03-01 0.212634 0.468049 0.992496 2.143302 4.608506 9.651182 20.787767
2026-03-08 0.192121 0.433557 0.941292 2.082129 4.584525 9.822294 21.659903
2026-03-15 0.177047 0.409287 0.909107 2.058193 4.637057 10.156157 22.911077
2026-03-22 0.171235 0.405128 0.919822 2.129450 4.904553 10.971691 25.296809
2026-03-29 0.158152 0.382832 0.888216 2.102057 4.947900 11.301948 26.624764